Today's point of view
Today, the prices of major domestic steel products have risen slightly, relatively exceeding expectations, and the market has improved after midday. On the one hand, the ex-factory price of construction steel mills in East China was slightly raised by 30 yuan/ton in the middle of the day, and the evening Baowu July plate futures price was also raised by 50-150 yuan/ton. The cost support was obvious; on the other hand, the inventory was low. Recently, some areas in Jiangsu will limit production by environmental protection, and the market supply is tightening expectations. Short-term positive news continued to support and promote the steel market, and the market trend is still expected to be strong.
Macro hotspot
1. [Apple futures closed at the daily limit, coal futures rose in the lead] Apple closed up 5%, coke rose nearly 4%, Zheng coal rose more than 3%, coking coal rose nearly 3%, thread, asphalt, Zheng alcohol, hot coil rose more than 1%, iron ore, crude oil, Shanghai zinc, glass, Shanghai lead, plastics, eggs, sugar, ferrosilicon, soybean meal, manganese silicon, etc. closed up. Palm closed down 1%, Shanghai nickel, vegetable, Shanghai copper, Shanghai tin, Shanghai aluminum, Shanghai gold, corn, Zheng cotton, rubber and so on closed down.
2. [The three major indexes are steadily strengthening in the afternoon, and the big consumer sector stands out]
The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3080.55 points, up 0.91%, with a turnover of 154.5 billion.
The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10,315.28 points, up 1.38%, with a turnover of 196.6 billion.
The GEM closed at 1712.77 points, up 1.43%, with a turnover of 62.6 billion.
3. The DPRK-US summit signed a "historic" document to be released soon. The DPRK-US summit meeting was held at the Capella Hotel in Singapore on the 12th. Kim Jong-un and Trump attended the signing ceremony in the afternoon. The two sides signed the historic document of the DPRK Summit. Publish the contents of the document. Trump told reporters after a lunch with Kim Jong-un that the US-DPRK summit has made a lot of progress and "is better than anyone expected." The report said that the agreement will "recognize the progress made by the summit and keep moving forward." Trump also invited Kim Jong-un to visit the White House.
4. [British Brexit Minister: The situation in Brexit is not in the direction of no agreement]
British Brexit Minister Davis: After the EU summit on June 28, the government will announce the Brexit White Paper.
The government is trying to ensure a set of customs arrangements that will resolve border issues as soon as possible after Brexit.
If the Brexit Agreement cannot be reached, then everything is excused, but the current situation is not developing in this direction, and the EU does not want it.
Nothing can overthrow the British Brexit decision.
Market today
Raw material
Billet: The price of the national billet market has strengthened. Shandong and Shanxi steel billets rose 10 yuan / ton, Tangshan, Jiangsu rose 20 yuan / ton. Today, the straight billet transaction was smooth, and the warehouse stocks around 3760 tax-included low-cost transactions were available. The high price was temporarily waited for, and the steel futures were running. The overall turnover of finished products was higher than yesterday. Today, Shandong steel billet rose 10 yuan / ton, Q235 billet factory 3720-3730 yuan / ton, steel mills can accept orders, billet resources supply is tight, spot resources are small, and foreign resources are still inflow.
Domestic mines: Some market prices in the main domestic production areas have been temporarily stabilized. Specifically, the North China-Tangshan 66% dry-based tax-included cash factory is 635-645 yuan / ton, the west of the 66% dry-based tax-included cash out of 620-630 yuan / ton, Qian'an 66% dry basis tax-included cash factory 645-655 yuan / ton; Zunhua 66% dry basis tax-included cash factory 630-640 yuan / ton.
Imported mines: The spot price of imported mines rose slightly and the transactions were active. As of the time of publication, Shandong steel enterprises have rigid demand for replenishment after the production has been resumed. Although the psychological price of traders has increased, the acceptance of steel mills is still acceptable, and the sentiment of buyers and sellers has improved. Part of the spot transaction is as follows, Rizhao Port Jinbuba powder 420 yuan / ton, bar 473 yuan / wet tons, Qingdao Port Newman block 610 yuan / ton; Laoshan Port PB block 585 yuan / wet tons; Lianyungang Newman block 605 yuan / Ton.
Steel spot
Construction steel: Today's domestic construction steel prices rose slightly. In terms of specific prices, the average price of 25 major cities nationwide was 4,180 yuan / ton, up 14 yuan / ton from the previous trading day, except for the small increase in Harbin, the rest of the region was stable and rising, with an increase of 10- 50 yuan / ton. Specifically, the early quotations of the merchants increased slightly, and the market waited for a strong mood. In the afternoon, with the snails going up, the spot transactions were significantly heavy, and the prices in some regions were adjusted twice. Environmental inspections have led to more and more steel mills reducing production and maintenance, and the supply is tight in the later period. At the same time, steel mills have a strong willingness to price, business costs are high, and supermarket stocks are low. In the short term, prices are easy to rise and fall. On the whole, under the stimulation of many good news, the demand in the off-season is only to suppress the price increase, and the domestic construction steel price may show an upward trend in the short term.
Hot-rolled coil: Today, the hot rolling prices of 24 major cities in the country are narrowly consolidating. The average price of 3.0 hot-rolled coils is 4372 yuan/ton, up 5 yuan/ton from the previous trading day, and the national average price of 4.75 hot-rolled coils. 4,315 yuan / ton, up 6 yuan / ton compared with the previous trading day. Today's futures market fluctuated and rose, the market mentality has been boosted, and merchants' prices have risen steadily. At present, the market demand is generally average, and there is no significant volume of transactions. However, the recent market resources are relatively small, the overall inventory of the business is not high, and the shipping pressure is not large, which has certain support for the price. In addition, today's billet market price rose by 20 yuan / ton, the current price of carbon billet is 3,690 yuan / ton. On the whole, it is expected that the price of the hot-rolled market will fluctuate tomorrow.
Medium and heavy plate: Today, the domestic plate market price fluctuates within a narrow range. The average price of 20mm medium and heavy plate in 23 major cities nationwide is 4453 yuan/ton, which is flat compared with the previous trading day. In the early trading, as the futures oscillated and the transactions were not good, the spot resource quotations were stable and loose, and some regions had certain concessions in order to promote the transaction. In the afternoon, the electronic disk oscillated upward and the billet rose slightly, and some areas continued to increase. It is expected that the price of the domestic plate market may be tightly consolidating tomorrow.
Cold rolled coil: Today's national cold rolling prices rose slightly. Price: 1.0 national cold rolling average price of 4735 yuan / ton, compared with the previous working day price rose 6 yuan / ton. The main market price: Shanghai market 1.0mm WISCO coil plate offer 4660 yuan / ton, Guangzhou market 1.0mm Angang coil offer 4710 yuan / ton, Tianjin market 1.0mm Angang coil offer 4590 yuan / ton. In terms of market: the overall price remained stable, and some market prices were raised by RMB 10-50/ton. From the point of view of understanding, the best-selling specifications existed in the absence of goods, and the price rose. The southern part of China was affected by the typhoon, and the shipments were affected. The latter was also the local rainy season, which was unfavorable to the market. In terms of steel mills, Baowu Steel introduced the July futures price policy, and the cold system was raised by 50-100 yuan/ton, which supported the current market price to a certain extent. On the whole, it is expected that the cold rolling prices will fluctuate upward tomorrow.
Steel: Today, the domestic steel market price remains at a high level, and the performance in the North and South regions is slightly different. Although the overall price remains firm, some regions are subject to a stable price limit. The Tangshan steel has a stable angle in the early morning, and the channel steel has risen by RMB 10/ton in early trading. The overall transaction was generally good in the afternoon. Only the various manufacturers of angle steel were able to ship the steel. The steel billet was up by RMB 10/ton in the afternoon, which did not boost the steel market. The role of the work tank is still not satisfactory. In the afternoon, the billet continued to rise by RMB 20/ton, and the section of the steel mill rose by RMB 10-20/ton. The market is still in a low state. The price increase of the East China spot market is not satisfactory, and it is forced to maintain consolidation in the current supply and demand double weak pattern. First of all, due to the current high order price, the resource replenishment is relatively scattered. Although the market volatility was strong in the afternoon, the market transactions did not improve. South China's profile market prices were basically stable in early trading, but some merchants said that prices are difficult to strengthen, and actual shipments continue to be small. At present, the overall market resources are not large, and the business mentality is relatively stable, but the recent transactions are relatively weak. It is expected that the domestic steel prices will remain at a high level in recent days.
Steel pipes: Domestic pipe prices are basically stable today, and some cities have slightly adjusted. In terms of varieties, the average price of welded pipe 4 inch *3.75mm is 4426 yuan / ton, down 1 yuan / ton from the previous trading day; galvanized pipe 4 inch * 3.75mm national average price 5243 yuan / ton, compared with the previous transaction The daily drop was 10 yuan / ton; the average price of seamless pipe 108 * 4.5mm was 5,255 yuan / ton, up 2 yuan / ton from the previous trading day. In terms of pipe factory, Tianjin Youfa and Juncheng ex-factory prices were raised by RMB 20/ton, and Tianjin Lida's ex-factory price was not adjusted. Linyi mainstream seamless pipe factory hot-rolling price was RMB 4,800-4,850/ton. In terms of welded pipes and galvanized pipes, the market transactions were general, and some market prices were upside down. Traders' enthusiasm for replenishing goods was generally low. In terms of seamless pipes, the market is generally poorly shipped. Today, the Linyi Pipe Factory has basically resumed production, and the market has a strong bearish atmosphere. The price of the pipe factory is still strong. It is expected that the market price of steel pipe will be weakened and run at a weaker level tomorrow.
Futures: Today, the domestic black commodity futures rose across the board, the market volume was heavy, and the funds flowed in a large amount. Among them, the double-focus increased sharply, the finished products rose slightly, and the iron ore performance stagnate. Specifically, the environmental protection inspector team will be stationed in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, the Plains of the Plains, the Yangtze River Delta and other places. The rapid rise of the double-focus in the intraday market will drive the overall rise of the black system. As the environmental protection policy continues to deepen, the market will anticipate the future. A good turn, the continued decline in the market inventory in the off-season has a certain role in supporting the spot price. In the short term, the spot market is still easy to rise and fall, and the black system still has upside. Taking the snail as an example, the daily line closed the shadow Xiaoyang line. After the early decline, the market rose as expected. The late-disc heavy-duty station stood above 3850. At night, the pressure around 3880 was observed. The operation still suggested that the bargain-hunting was long and the rolling operation was carried out. Mainly.
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