From the perspective of machine tool production and sales in the first two months of 2007, it is expected that domestic machine tool demand will not weaken this year, new market highlights will continue to emerge, global equipment demand will increase, and China's machine tool industry will enter a steady and more rational development. Period.
Industry development presents significant features
First of all, the formation of a strong first group army. These companies have established a leading position in the industry, and the gap with the world's advanced level has been further reduced. These enterprises will expand the scale of enterprises and improve their technology sources and innovation capabilities through market means in cross-regional development and even transnational development. The gold cutting machine industry, such as Shenyang Machine Tool and Dalian Machine Tool, has annual sales of about 7 billion yuan, and will enter 10 billion yuan in two or three years. Forging industry, such as Ji Er, Jin Fangyuan, Yawei and other enterprises, the technical level of its products has been similar or equivalent to the international advanced level. In the tool industry, the quantity of products, quantity and Hanzhong tools have reached the world's advanced level, and the market share has increased significantly.
Secondly, the market for machine tool products continues to grow, attracting high attention from investors. The machine tool industry is not only a basic and strategic industry, but also a good investment return and brand development industry. Foreign capital and domestic capital, including some companies that have achieved results in other fields, have flooded into the machine tool industry. At present, there are thousands of emerging companies operating in Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Guangdong provinces in terms of complete machines or functional components. According to the survey, most of these enterprises are small in scale, with sales ranging from millions to tens of millions of yuan. The products are generally GM's middle and low-end products, and sales are mainly to meet the needs of the geographical range. Some private and foreign-funded enterprises have begun to acquire large and medium-sized machine tool enterprises with high level and brand awareness in the central and western regions, such as Wanxiang Group, Xinrui Group and Haitian Group. The new construction, restructuring, restructuring and development momentum of the machine tool industry started in the early 21st century has entered a peak in the past two years.
Third, the pace of development of some large, sophisticated, sophisticated and high-tech products has accelerated. The development cycle and industrialization cycle of these products are gradually shortened, and the development cycle of new products is only 2 to 3 months. The research and development cycle of high-precision and major equipment is only one year to one and a half years, and the newly developed products have already reached the level of commodities when they are “offlineâ€. Therefore, in recent years, the new products of China's machine tool industry have been developed according to market needs, according to user requirements, and reliable production. Now it is not difficult to develop a new CNC machine tool with a high level.
Finally, the social supporting capability of China's machine tool industry has been greatly improved, and various basic functional components have formed a relatively complete system. From the situation reflected in Shandong, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Guangdong and other regions, the number of machine tool accessories and functional parts manufacturers in these four provinces has reached 3,000~4,000, and there are thousands of varieties and specifications, from spindles and servo motors. A variety of protection, lubrication, tool magazines, knife covers are available. The improvement of social support has promoted the development of the whole machine industry. The fierce competition has also promoted the improvement of product quality and level to a certain extent, and promoted the research and development of new products. However, some important functional components, such as linear motors, tool magazines, and high-speed spindles, still need to be strengthened or improved.
In addition, the enterprise composition of China's machine tool industry is still dominated by the joint-stock companies developed by the former state-owned large-scale backbone enterprises, and the technology still dominates. However, some private enterprises have already occupied a certain proportion of medium and low-end products, and foreign-funded enterprises are still auxiliary forces. Of course, in some technology-intensive high-tech supporting functional components, joint ventures or foreign-funded enterprises occupy a controlling position, which has certain constraints on the overall development of China's machine tool industry.
New market highlights continue to emerge
At present, the world economic situation has improved, and the global demand for equipment will increase. According to the analysis of the recent economic reports of the three major economies of the United States, Japan and the European Union, the US economy will change from a rebound in 2006 to a high-speed growth, with growth of 3% to 5%. Japan has also passed the weak period and entered recovery. In the period, the positive growth is 2% to 3%; the EU will also have a growth of around 3%.
From the perspective of several factors in the development of the machine tool market in 2006, these factors will not be weakened in 2007, so the domestic demand of the machine tool industry will not be weakened. From the perspective of various major markets, the sales volume of important models such as cars and heavy-duty vehicles has gradually expanded from east to west, and individual car purchases have become mainstream. Secondly, in the fields of aviation, the technological transformation in 2007 will continue to increase, and equipment demand will be further expanded. Private enterprises will further penetrate into manufacturing and light industry, and their technological level and processing capacity will depend on the improvement of equipment.
New market highlights are constantly emerging. As this year will enter the peak of the “Eleventh Five-Year†implementation period, the national key projects, key projects, and key tasks will be fully rolled out, and the market demand will show a high growth, which will further stimulate the technological transformation and equipment renewal of the enterprise. The major projects initiated and continued in recent years include: the manufacture of the Three Gorges right bank generator set, the full start of the middle section of the West-East Gas Pipeline and the introduction of various provinces and municipalities along the route, the South-to-North Water Transfer Project, Beijing, Shanghai, Wuhan, Tianjin, Chongqing, Changsha, etc. The subway, light rail project, large chemical fertilizer, large air separation, and west power transmission to the city will bring market demand to related industries, and these industries will directly or indirectly increase the market share of the machine tool industry.
Distinctive market demand characteristics
First, the demand characteristics represented by cars. First of all, flexible production lines and complete sets of equipment consisting of CNC machine tools will become one of the key points. The characteristics of these production lines: First, the high speed, the spindle speed is generally 8000 ~ 12000r / min, the feed rate is high, generally 60 ~ 80m / min, the tool change is fast, generally 1 ~ 2s; Second, the reliability is high. The MTBF is generally 800-900h; the third is a good set. These flexible wires not only require good fixtures and tools, but also good process software and control software. Fourth, high precision is required, and the consistency of product processing is good. In 2007, flexible machine tools were added to machine tools entering the automotive industry to ensure the diversification of automotive products.
Second, the demand characteristics represented by key large equipment. High-tech and large-scale special equipment represented by aviation, aerospace, power generation, shipbuilding, metallurgy and heavy machinery have become the focus of the second aspect. These equipments tend to have higher unit prices, special requirements, and greater difficulty. However, from the perspective of total national demand, they have great advantages, accounting for more than one third of the machine tool market. In particular, the demand for CNC gantry milling, CNC floor raking, and large-scale five-face processing equipment is large, and China's production capacity cannot meet this sudden increase in demand.
Third, the demand characteristics represented by the processing of products such as molds. Multi-coordinate, high-precision, and complex-shaped processing equipment represented by mold processing and other products is the third demand point. These equipments are mainly machining centers, turning centers, copy milling, forming mills, etc. with four coordinate linkages. These devices are characterized by special software functions and complex supporting technologies, which often affect the level of the whole machine.
Fourth, the demand characteristics represented by the private enterprise group. The purchase of simple CNC machine tools represented by the rise of private enterprises in Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Guangdong has become the fourth demand hotspot. According to statistics, in 2007, private enterprises and family-integrated technology enterprises in the above-mentioned areas required about 36,000 simple CNC machine tools and other numerical control equipment. These devices are characterized by low price, special functional requirements, and easy operation, but these enterprise equipment The update speed is faster and it is a market with continuous development and great potential.
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