Although the policy has not been formally announced, the industry’s latest export tariffs for the chemical fertilizer industry have been determined. The Securities Times reporter learned from various sources yesterday that the forthcoming New Deal for Chemical Fertilizer Exports will shorten the off-season export time, that is, the export time of off-season urea will be shortened by 2 months, the export time of ammonium phosphate off-season will be shortened by one and a half months, and the export price of off-season urea will be lower. 2300 yuan / ton dropped to 2100 yuan / ton, the tax rate remained unchanged.
The New Deal is essentially a specific implementation of the new policy of increasing tariffs and fertilizers: urea, which will carry out the peak season tariffs from December 1, and the peak season tariffs will continue until June 30, 2010, from December 1, 2010 to June 30, 2011. The implementation of high season tariffs, the tax rate is 110%. The off-season tariff was implemented from July 1st to October 31st, 2011. The tax rate was 7%, and the basic price of urea fell from 2,300 yuan/ton to 2,100 yuan/ton. From November 1st to December 2011, we continued to implement the peak season tariffs at a rate of 110%. In ammonium phosphate, the implementation of peak season tariffs began on December 1. That is, 110% of the peak season tariffs will be implemented from December 1, 2010 to May 31, 2011. From June 1st to September 30th, 2011, a 7% off-season tariff was implemented. The 110% peak season tariff was implemented from October 1st to December 31st, 2011.
According to the “2010 Tariff Implementation Plan†issued by the State Council Tariff Policy Committee at the end of last year, the urea off-season tariffs for this year will be January 2010, July 1 - September 15, October 16 - December 31, and ammonium phosphate. The off-season tariffs are January 2010, June-August, and October 16-December 31. With the approaching of the expiry date of this export tariff policy, the introduction of the New Deal has become imminent. The recent surge in fertilizer prices has caused tremendous pressure on agricultural production. The situation of price increases has been severe. The new purpose of exporting chemical fertilizers has set the theme of “reducing exports and ensuring domestic supplyâ€.
The New Deal reduced the export time of fertilizer off-season to mean an increase in export time in the peak season. Due to the high tariff rate of export duties during the peak season, the main content of the New Deal was actually to increase export tariffs. An executive of a fertilizer production company stated that in the initial period of tariff increase, due to the influence of dealers and wait-and-see factors, the main trend may have a slight fall, but the downside is limited, and it will rebound again after the agricultural market begins to purchase. What really worries the market is the market after the Spring Festival. The phenomenon of overcapacity in the case of a long period of time that cannot be exported may become apparent again in the spring and summer of next year.
Advantageous cash flow companies will benefit Gao Jing, a chemical industry analyst at CICC, said that as the major costs of domestic nitrogen fertilizers, such as coal, natural gas, and electricity, will continue to maintain the trend of rising prices, the overall cost curve of the urea industry will remain stable. Move up. In terms of phosphate fertilizers, due to the predominant supply of phosphorus for export, domestic stocks are extremely low, and the demand for winter storage and fertilizer in spring will still support domestic phosphate prices. Tariff adjustments have a limited effect on the price of phosphate fertilizers. He believes that the steady increase in demand for global fertilizers next year and higher China's export tariffs may jointly boost international fertilizer prices. However, after a short-term slight correction, the domestic market may still rise again. The overall average price may be higher than in 2010.
Gao Hao also believes that the new tariff policy may further accelerate the consolidation of the industry. The shortening and postponement of the export window period may increase the working capital pressure for domestic production and sales companies to use for inventory. At the same time, with the release of more concentrated exports, there may be tension in export capacity. Therefore, companies with abundant cash flow, short-term channels, and convenient transportation facilities may become beneficiaries.
The New Deal is essentially a specific implementation of the new policy of increasing tariffs and fertilizers: urea, which will carry out the peak season tariffs from December 1, and the peak season tariffs will continue until June 30, 2010, from December 1, 2010 to June 30, 2011. The implementation of high season tariffs, the tax rate is 110%. The off-season tariff was implemented from July 1st to October 31st, 2011. The tax rate was 7%, and the basic price of urea fell from 2,300 yuan/ton to 2,100 yuan/ton. From November 1st to December 2011, we continued to implement the peak season tariffs at a rate of 110%. In ammonium phosphate, the implementation of peak season tariffs began on December 1. That is, 110% of the peak season tariffs will be implemented from December 1, 2010 to May 31, 2011. From June 1st to September 30th, 2011, a 7% off-season tariff was implemented. The 110% peak season tariff was implemented from October 1st to December 31st, 2011.
According to the “2010 Tariff Implementation Plan†issued by the State Council Tariff Policy Committee at the end of last year, the urea off-season tariffs for this year will be January 2010, July 1 - September 15, October 16 - December 31, and ammonium phosphate. The off-season tariffs are January 2010, June-August, and October 16-December 31. With the approaching of the expiry date of this export tariff policy, the introduction of the New Deal has become imminent. The recent surge in fertilizer prices has caused tremendous pressure on agricultural production. The situation of price increases has been severe. The new purpose of exporting chemical fertilizers has set the theme of “reducing exports and ensuring domestic supplyâ€.
The New Deal reduced the export time of fertilizer off-season to mean an increase in export time in the peak season. Due to the high tariff rate of export duties during the peak season, the main content of the New Deal was actually to increase export tariffs. An executive of a fertilizer production company stated that in the initial period of tariff increase, due to the influence of dealers and wait-and-see factors, the main trend may have a slight fall, but the downside is limited, and it will rebound again after the agricultural market begins to purchase. What really worries the market is the market after the Spring Festival. The phenomenon of overcapacity in the case of a long period of time that cannot be exported may become apparent again in the spring and summer of next year.
Advantageous cash flow companies will benefit Gao Jing, a chemical industry analyst at CICC, said that as the major costs of domestic nitrogen fertilizers, such as coal, natural gas, and electricity, will continue to maintain the trend of rising prices, the overall cost curve of the urea industry will remain stable. Move up. In terms of phosphate fertilizers, due to the predominant supply of phosphorus for export, domestic stocks are extremely low, and the demand for winter storage and fertilizer in spring will still support domestic phosphate prices. Tariff adjustments have a limited effect on the price of phosphate fertilizers. He believes that the steady increase in demand for global fertilizers next year and higher China's export tariffs may jointly boost international fertilizer prices. However, after a short-term slight correction, the domestic market may still rise again. The overall average price may be higher than in 2010.
Gao Hao also believes that the new tariff policy may further accelerate the consolidation of the industry. The shortening and postponement of the export window period may increase the working capital pressure for domestic production and sales companies to use for inventory. At the same time, with the release of more concentrated exports, there may be tension in export capacity. Therefore, companies with abundant cash flow, short-term channels, and convenient transportation facilities may become beneficiaries.
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